Len Kiefer

Helping people understand the economy, housing and mortgage markets

Economy

  1. Plotting U.S. Macroeconomic Trends with FRED and R

    Let's plot recent U.S. macroeconomic trends with R.

  2. Housing construction and employment trends

    The U.S. isn't building enough homes to meet demand. One reason often cited is a lack of labor. How do construction trends compare to construction employment? Let's take a look.

  3. JOLTS a dataviz trilogy

    A trilogy of animated data visualizations showing labor market trends. R code for the data wrangling and plotting bits.

  4. Recent trends in U.S. housing markets: 2017Q3 update

    In this post we review of U.S. housing market trends through the third quarter of 2017. We take a close look at state housing markets and present several visualizations of house price trends.

  5. A closer look at forecasting recessions with dynamic model averaging

    Back we go into the vasty deep. In this post we look closer at using dynamic model averaging and dynamic logistic regression to forecast recessions.

  6. Forecasting recessions with dynamic model averaging

    We go into the vasty deep, dipping our toes ever so slightly into the dark waters of macroeconometric forecasting. Here we use dynamic model averaging to forecast recessions with R.

  7. Home sales in expansions and recessions

    housing activity over the cycle

  8. Unemployment Flexdashboard

  9. Forecasting is hard (work)

  10. Housing market recap